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Showing posts from September, 2025

Sound Advice: September 24, 2025

Private equity may be good for investors, but it's terrible for the companies involved.   The impact of private equity (PE) on companies is a polarizing subject, with strong arguments on both sides. Arguments That Private Equity Is Harmful for Companies: Increased Risk of Bankruptcy:  Companies acquired by private equity are about 10 times more likely to go bankrupt than those not owned by PE firms. Some studies have found a 20% bankruptcy rate among PE-owned companies, which is substantially higher than industry averages. Job Losses:  On average, private equity takeovers result in significant job losses, with a Harvard and University of Chicago study showing an average 4.4% decline in jobs two years after acquisition. High-profile examples like Toys R Us and Red Lobster involved massive layoffs and eventually bankruptcy under PE ownership. Heavy Debt Burdens:  PE firms frequently use leveraged buyouts, making ...

Sound Advice: September 19, 2025

How does the resemblance of the current situation in the U.S. to the  events of 1933 in Germany affect the financial markets? The resemblance of the current situation in the U.S. the events of 1933 in Germany raises significant concerns for financial markets, primarily through heightened uncertainty, increased polarization, and risk of institutional instability -- factors that historically have led to market volatility and reduced investor confidence. Historical Market Reactions In 1933 Germany, the collapse of confidence in government and institutions led to drastic declines in stock prices, widespread business failures, and soaring unemployment. Political outsiders exploiting institutional weakness intensified market disruption; major corporations suffered, but some firms closely connected to the new regime profited temporarily as their share prices rose. Contemporary Parallels Today’s U.S. situation features similar political polarization and a loss of public trust in leadership...

Sound Advice: September 17, 2025

Why price to earnings growth is an important measure of stock value   The price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio is an important measure of stock value because it builds upon the traditional price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio by factoring in a company’s expected earnings growth rate. This makes the PEG ratio a more comprehensive tool for investors who want to assess whether a stock’s price accurately reflects its future potential, not just its current profitability. Why PEG Is Important Includes Growth Expectations:  Although the P/E ratio measures how much investors are paying for each dollar of earnings, it does not take into account how quickly a company’s earnings are expected to grow.  Tech firms, for example, often have high P/E ratios simply because investors expect rapid growth.  The PEG ratio helps clarify whether a high P/E is justified by high growth prospects. True Value Indicator:  The PEG ratio is regarded as a mo...

Sound Advice: My Latest Book

Here's the cover and index of my latest book.  If interested in a copy, please email me: nrwaynebb@gmail.com

Sound Advice: September 10 , 2025

What are the advantages and disadvantages of robo advisers?   Advantages of Robo-Advisers Lower Fees : Robo-advisers typically charge much less than traditional human advisers, with management fees often ranging from 0.25% to 0.50% per year, compared to 1% or more for traditional advisers. Low Minimums & Easy Onboarding : Many robo-advisers offer low or no account minimums, making them accessible to beginners and those with modest investment amounts. The sign-up process is usually straightforward and fully online. Automated, Hands-Off Management : Portfolios are automatically rebalanced, and asset allocations are adjusted based on your goals and risk tolerance. This "set-and-forget" aspect is ideal for investors who want minimal involvement. Evidence-Based Algorithms : Many use investment models inspired by accepted financial theories, aiming to maximize returns for a given level of risk. Tax-Loss Harvesting : ...

Sound Advice: September 3, 2025

What's the worst time of year for the stock market? Historical Patterns The  worst time of year for the stock market  has historically been the month of  September .  This trend, known as the "September Effect," is supported by data showing that major stock indices such as the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average often record negative returns in this month.  Since 1950, the S&P 500’s average return in September is around -0.5%, making it the only month with consistent losses over such an extended period.  On a weekly basis, September also ranks low, with week 38 (typically in late September) posting the worst average return since 1926. Why September? Several factors may explain September’s poor performance: Portfolio Rebalancing : Institutional investors often rebalance portfolios at the end of the third quarter, sometimes leading to stock selloffs. Tax-Loss Harvesting : Some investors begin selling losing positions ...