How
many investors have outperformed the stock market over the last 20 years?
Very few investors have outperformed the stock market over the past 20 years. Data shows that only about 6% to 8% of actively managed equity funds in the U.S. beat the market over this period, with the vast majority—over 90%—underperforming the S&P 500 or equivalent broad indexes.
Percentage of Investors Beating the Market
- Only
8% of equity funds investing in large companies managed to outperform
the market over a recent 20-year span.
- About
94% of all domestic funds underperformed the S&P 1500 Composite
Index from 2005-2024.
- Over
shorter timeframes (5-10 years), typically fewer than 15-20% of fund
managers beat the S&P 500, and performance persistence is rare.
Why It Is Rare
- The S&P
500’s high returns have proven immensely difficult to beat,
especially as indexing has become popular and markets have become more
efficient.
- Although
many managers attempt to outperform, most are outpaced by index
funds, especially after fees are included.
- Outperformance
is more likely to be found in certain specialized or non-U.S. sectors, but
remains rare over long periods.
Notable Exceptions
- Only a handful of legendary investors—such as Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch (in his era), and a few star managers—consistently beat the market over long periods, but such examples are exceedingly uncommon today.
Summary Table
Period |
% Outperforming Funds |
Past 10 Years |
15% |
Past 20 Years |
6–8% |
The overwhelming evidence suggests that beating the stock market over 20 years is extremely rare, and only a small minority of investors or funds manage to do so on a consistent, risk, risk-adjusted basis.
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