How is the similarity between Germany in 1933 and the current turbulence in U.S. politics likely to affect the financial markets? The parallels between Germany in 1933 and current U.S. political turbulence may amplify financial market volatility, but there may be important distinctions. In 1933, Germany's political upheaval and rise of authoritarian leadership fostered extreme market reactions—companies with political connections to the new regime outperformed the rest of the market, while general uncertainty and crisis sharply affected investor sentiment and economic stability. In the current United States, political divisions, government shutdowns, and leadership controversies have triggered immediate market downturns, increased risk aversion, and surges in safe-haven assets like gold. Even so, the scale and nature differ: America retains robust institutional checks, and financial markets tend to rebound after periods of political tension. Those rebounds,...
Investment and economic observations by N. Russell Wayne, CFP, MBA. Mr. Wayne is the president of Sound Asset Management, inc. and former Managing Editor of The Value Line Investment Survey.