Skip to main content

Sound Advice: September 27, 2023

Five Stocks To Buy Today

It’s getting increasingly difficult to listen to commercials on financial network media.  In all cases, the hook is an ostensibly unusual discovery by the sponsor that would have you believe that they alone have the map to untold wealth.  And, surprise, surprise, for just one phone call, they will be happy to send you, at no cost, information about their latest and greatest extraordinary scam.

One of the more amusing examples is the gentleman who can’t wait to tell you about the technique he has developed that, according to him, has generated returns of 5% a month.  Since many investors would be quite satisfied if their portfolios increased by 5% a year, the only reasonable response to this nonsense is controlled regurgitation.

Then there’s the well-known West Coast investment company that wants you to know that they are different because they only do better when their investors do better. Not only that, but they don’t charge commissions. 

Guess what?  With rare exception, fees for investment managers rise and fall in line with changes in the values of the portfolios they are managing.  And, no, investment managers do not charge commissions for transactions. Transaction fees, where they still exist, are charged by brokerage houses.

Even more absurd are lists of stocks and funds to buy now.  Forgetting about the fact that there is nothing in the financial literature to support the likelihood that these recommendations will be successful, one wonders why the recommendations are almost totally focused on the buy side of the equation.

If we buy, when do we sell?  That’s the hitch since the goal is a prospective increase in value, which is only locked in after the investment has been liquidated.  Yet one would be hard pressed to scour Wall Street firms for lists of stocks and funds to be sold.

Under the heading liquid investments, the rare exception of what’s to be held forever would be market index funds, which are widely available at modest cost.  Over time, that route will be more likely to provide worthwhile returns than the mistaken belief that there really are wizards who hold the secret to successful investing. 

There aren’t and they don’t.

 N. Russell Wayne, CFP

Any questions?  Please contact me at nrwayne@soundasset.com

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Sound Advice: January 3, 2025

2025 Market Forecasts: Stupidity Taken To An Extreme   If you know anything about stock market performance, you can only gag at the nonsense “esteemed forecasters” are now putting forth about the prospective path of stocks in the year ahead.   Our cousins in the UK would call this rubbish.   I would not be as kind. Leading the Ship of Fools is the forecast from the Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer who is looking for a year-end 2025 level for the Standard & Poor’s Index of 7,100, a whopping 21% increase from the most recent standing.   Indeed, most of these folks are looking for double-digit gains.   Only two expect stocks to weaken. In the last 30 years, the market has risen by more than 20% only 15 times.   The exceptional span during that time was 1996-1999, which accounted for four of those jumps.   What followed in 2000 through 2002 was the polar opposite: 2000:      -9.1% 2001:     -11.9% ...

Sound Advice: January 15, 2025

Why investors shouldn't pay attention to Wall Street forecasts   Investors shouldn't pay attention to Wall Street forecasts for several compelling reasons: Poor accuracy Wall Street forecasts have a terrible track record of accuracy. Studies show that their predictions are often no better than random chance, with accuracy rates as low as 47%   Some prominent analysts even perform worse, with accuracy ratings as low as 35% Consistent overestimation Analysts consistently overestimate earnings growth, predicting 10-12%                 annual growth when the reality is closer to 6%.   This overoptimism can                 lead investors to make overly aggressive bets in the market. Inability to predict unpredictable events The stock market is influenced by numerous unpredictable factors, including geopolitical events, technological changes, and company-specific news.   Anal...

Sound Advice: October 12, 2022

More Pain Ahead? It’s been a difficult year for the investment markets, but tough times have happened before and they will certainly happen again.   Sometimes recoveries are relatively quick and sometimes a hefty dose of patience is required.   No two downdrafts are alike, but the net result is always a rebound to even higher levels than seen before. One of the most uncomfortable stretches over the last half century took place during the oil embargo days of the early and mid-1970s.   Market valuations fell to the high single digits, a level that was about half the historic average.   For investors, this was one of the great sales of all time.   Those who had the courage to get aboard reaped huge rewards. More recent pullbacks of note took place during the dot.com days of the turn of the millennium and the banking crisis of 2008-9.   The former period was marked by what appeared to be investors’ absolute indifference to longstanding measures of reasona...