Skip to main content

Sound Advice: October 5, 2022

Unusual opportunities? Really?

Even if you spend no more than a few minutes listening to media such as CNBC, MSNBC, Fox News, and the like, you will be bombarded with commercials, many offering opportunities for whom the only beneficiary is the sponsor of the commercial.  These include “. . . investment techniques that could get you unusually high returns”, “. . . cash for your life insurance policies”, “substantial cash compensation” if you used Johnson’s baby powder, served at Camp LeJeune or somehow had a distant relationship with another issue for which some wrong had led to a legal recovery.

When you hear these, you have to wonder why commercials are needed to promote these apparent paths to “riches.”  The answer, of course, is that in most cases the chances of a result that could be profitable for you is probably on a par with winning at Lotto.  Ain’t gonna happen.

Let’s start with investment techniques.  With investing, the likelihood of success increases as the time span for the investment increases.  Offers that suggest substantial returns in short periods are utter and complete nonsense.  Indeed, if there were any veracity to these kinds of claims, the folks who came up with them would be able to sit back and watch their money grow.  That’s not happening, but more than a few people are gullible enough to believe in these things.  That’s how the sponsors make their money.  Not through the use of their schemes.

Years ago, when I was at Value Line, the well-respected investment advisory publication, we were occasionally approached by individuals and companies that had developed investment techniques “with great returns”.  When we asked for data to show those “great returns”, they never were able to do so.

Even so, on occasion, there have been subtle changes in real investment approaches that have been of value.  But in all cases, as more people have made these changes, the benefits from same have diminished.

If you want to sell your life insurance policy, known as a viatical settlement, that may work if you are single, but a couple who considers same is looking for trouble if they both have and want to sell their policies.  No need to explain this.

Signing up to participate in a class action lawsuit may be of interest if you have nothing else to do.  But don’t hold your breath waiting for a check in the mailbox.

I hope you get the message and tune out.

   

N. Russell Wayne, CFPÒ


www.soundasset.com

 

Any questions?  Please contact me at nrwayne@soundasset.com

 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Sound Advice: January 3, 2025

2025 Market Forecasts: Stupidity Taken To An Extreme   If you know anything about stock market performance, you can only gag at the nonsense “esteemed forecasters” are now putting forth about the prospective path of stocks in the year ahead.   Our cousins in the UK would call this rubbish.   I would not be as kind. Leading the Ship of Fools is the forecast from the Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer who is looking for a year-end 2025 level for the Standard & Poor’s Index of 7,100, a whopping 21% increase from the most recent standing.   Indeed, most of these folks are looking for double-digit gains.   Only two expect stocks to weaken. In the last 30 years, the market has risen by more than 20% only 15 times.   The exceptional span during that time was 1996-1999, which accounted for four of those jumps.   What followed in 2000 through 2002 was the polar opposite: 2000:      -9.1% 2001:     -11.9% ...

Sound Advice: January 15, 2025

Why investors shouldn't pay attention to Wall Street forecasts   Investors shouldn't pay attention to Wall Street forecasts for several compelling reasons: Poor accuracy Wall Street forecasts have a terrible track record of accuracy. Studies show that their predictions are often no better than random chance, with accuracy rates as low as 47%   Some prominent analysts even perform worse, with accuracy ratings as low as 35% Consistent overestimation Analysts consistently overestimate earnings growth, predicting 10-12%                 annual growth when the reality is closer to 6%.   This overoptimism can                 lead investors to make overly aggressive bets in the market. Inability to predict unpredictable events The stock market is influenced by numerous unpredictable factors, including geopolitical events, technological changes, and company-specific news.   Anal...

Sound Advice: July 16, 2025

Fixed annuities are poor investments Fixed annuities are often criticized as poor investments for several reasons, despite their reputation for providing stable, predictable income.  Here are the key drawbacks and concerns:   High Fees and Commissions Internal Fees:  Fixed annuities can carry a range of fees, including administrative charges, mortality expense risk fees, and rider fees. These can add up to 2%–4% per year, significantly eroding returns over time. Commissions:  Sales agents and financial advisors often receive high commissions for selling annuities—sometimes as much as 5%–8% of the invested amount. This creates a financial incentive for advisers to recommend them, even when they may not be the best fit for the client. Comparison to Other Investments:  Mutual funds and ETFs typically have much lower fees and commissions, making them more cost-effective for long-term growth. Limited Growth a...